Dissecting Jokowi's Flattening Covid-19 Curve Claim

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Petir Garda Bhwana

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  • President Jokowi talks with a resident while reviewing the implementation of the Micro PPKM in the Rawasari area, Cempaka Putih, Jakarta, June 25, 2021. During the review, the President was accompanied by Health Minister Budi Gunadi Sadikin, TNI Commander Marshal Hadi Tjahjanto, and National Police Chief General Listyo Sigit Prabowo. BPMI Setpres/Muchlis Jr.

    President Jokowi talks with a resident while reviewing the implementation of the Micro PPKM in the Rawasari area, Cempaka Putih, Jakarta, June 25, 2021. During the review, the President was accompanied by Health Minister Budi Gunadi Sadikin, TNI Commander Marshal Hadi Tjahjanto, and National Police Chief General Listyo Sigit Prabowo. BPMI Setpres/Muchlis Jr.

    TEMPO.CO, Jakarta - President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo on Tuesday announced the gradual lifting of the public activity restriction (emergency PPKM) starting on July 26, which he claims is based on the Covid-19 curve that has begun to flatten following stricter restrictions. 

    The emergency PPKM enacted on July 3 was initially slated to be lifted today on July 20 but has been extended for another five days as the President announced.  

    Alhamdulillah, after the enforcement of the emergency PPKM the data suggests new cases and hospital bed occupancy rate are dropping,” said the President in a video announcement on July 20.

    However, citing the official daily Covid-19 data made public by the Indonesian Covid-19 handling and national economic recovery committee, the President’s claim is not entirely mistaken but it is important to note that the dropping cases aligns with the less number of specimens tested. 

    Tempo dissected the official logbook and found the dropping number of cases reported for the past three days was possible after testing no more than 200 thousand specimens. 

    The specimens tested for Covid-19 on July 18 was 192,918 while July 19 saw 160,686, and July 20 logged 179,275 which resulted in daily cases dropping below 40 thousand. This is quite the opposite to the number of specimens tested during the period that saw daily Covid-19 cases reach 50 thousand from July 14 - July 17. 

    The following is the data cited from the official government source. 

    Tuesday, July 13

    Confirmed cases: 47,899

    Specimens tested: 227,083

    Wednesday, July 14

    Confirmed cases: 54,517

    Specimens tested: 240,724

    Thursday, July 15

    Confirmed cases: 56,757

    Specimens: 249,059

    Friday, July 16

    Confirmed cases: 54,000

    Specimens tested: 258,532

    Saturday, July 17

    Confirmed cases: 51,952

    Specimens tested: 251,392

    Sunday, July 18

    Confirmed cases: 44,721

    Specimens tested: 192,918

    Monday July 19

    Confirmed cases: 34,257

    Specimens tested: 160,686

    Tuesday, July 20

    Confirmed Covid-19 cases: 38,325

    Specimens tested: 179,275

    ZACHARIAS WURAGIL