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Rupiah Waits for New Booster

21 April 2014 10:58 WIB

TEMPO/Eko Siswono Toyudho

TEMPO.CO, Jakarta - The absence of positive sentiment from the regional and domestic economy will make the rupiah fluctuate. The lingering geopolitical tension inUkraine is expected to increase the demand for the US dollar as a safe haven.

Analyst from Monex Investindo Futures, Albertus Christian, said the rupiah's tendency to be flat is also the impact of the development of economic data the United States (US) that continues to move dynamically. In addition, the rupiah has not been able to return to a short-term uptrend. "The dynamics of varying external causes tend to limit the rupiah movement," Albertus said.

The lack of signs that political tensions inUkrainewill end anytime soon has prompted investors to hunt down the US dollar. As a result, market participants will likely leave riskier assets in emerging markets, including the rupiah.

However, the rupiah still has a chance to appreciate if there are strong, positive domestic sentiments. The government's plan to auction Rp1.5 trillion worth of State Sharia Securities (SBSN) this week is expected to become a momentum for investors to sell their dollar and purchase rupiah-denominated bonds.

Market participants are also still waiting for further development of the presidential election. Expectations of coalitions favored the market may be able to attract foreign investors to increase their portfolio in the domestic market. "Today, the rupiah is likely to be traded in the range of Rp11.390 to Rp11, 450 per dollar," said Albertus.

PDAT | MEGEL JEKSON



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